2011-08-18, 10:17 AM
Raph589 Wrote:Because it's almost statistically impossible that a card which have a 5-10% drop rate doesn't drop in 200 kills.
Probability is the proportion of an event occurring out of INFINITE attempts.
This means that I could kill 500 Yetis and not get a card, but as the number I kill increases ad infinitum the ratio of the number of cards that drop to the number of Yetis I kill will TEND TOWARD that probability of 5~10%.
Therefore, the probability of 5~10% does not necessarily have to APPEAR to be correct within a finite number of attempts.
This means that I could kill 500 Yetis and not get a card, but as the number I kill increases ad infinitum the ratio of the number of cards that drop to the number of Yetis I kill will TEND TOWARD that probability of 5~10%.
Therefore, the probability of 5~10% does not necessarily have to APPEAR to be correct within a finite number of attempts.