2012-03-24, 09:07 AM
Sorry for bringing up the bait-scrolling topic again... although I don't think it actually works and neither have I any clue about the game's RNG or any other game mechanism I always thought that it was just some weird Math phenomenom.
Something like the Monty Hall problem where probabilities change for the better (must agree that I'd never got that one either).
So I've just drawn a probability-diagram and the chances for failing a 10% Scroll are obviously 90% whereas the chance of failing two scrolls in a row is 81%. (Yeah and I know that one could see these as two different events with 90% failure rate... just check this Monty Hall Thing, since I can't explain it)
However I want to remark that I still don't think that "dump-scrolling" increases your chances (be it because of weird game mechanisms killing math, or just because it's illogical in general)
On topic:
Adding points into LUK increasing your chances to get better drops.
Or something like Bob the snail which isn't real myth either... can't think of anything better at the moment
Something like the Monty Hall problem where probabilities change for the better (must agree that I'd never got that one either).
So I've just drawn a probability-diagram and the chances for failing a 10% Scroll are obviously 90% whereas the chance of failing two scrolls in a row is 81%. (Yeah and I know that one could see these as two different events with 90% failure rate... just check this Monty Hall Thing, since I can't explain it)
However I want to remark that I still don't think that "dump-scrolling" increases your chances (be it because of weird game mechanisms killing math, or just because it's illogical in general)
On topic:
Adding points into LUK increasing your chances to get better drops.
Or something like Bob the snail which isn't real myth either... can't think of anything better at the moment