2008-10-30, 11:46 AM
(This post was last modified: 2008-10-30, 12:01 PM by Redoutable.)
Stereo Wrote:Actually it's the opposite, the more fails you get in the row the longer it is before one passes.:f6:
Using that logic, the more times I fail 60% scrolls in a row, the more I'll have to fail before one works.
I.e I failed 2 60%s in a row and the 3rd worked. You're saying if I failed 3 in a row then the odds of failing a 4th are higher than passing the 4th? That's contradicting your own argument.

What I'm saying is there's less of a chance of the next one failing (Looking at the scrolling endeavor as a whole) if you fail several before hand, even though each scroll has a set percent chance of passing (Looking at each scroll independently). You just have to think that it's a bigger picture than each scroll, it's a series of scrolls that have to be taken into account.
Re-edit: Bad math. (What can I say, I take Bio)
I can't argue against the numbers, all I know is I must be really lucky for passing scrolls almost every time (Estimated at 90%+, I'll start recording my scrolling now) after failing 2-3.

