2014-09-04, 02:34 AM
MasPan Wrote:[COLOR="#cc8899"]Really good reasoning regarding Hypermug. I am a bit perturbed that people made a lynch out of TheBirds day 1 despite him almost always becoming really involved ~day 3 or so and usually to some gamechanging results. Especially with no Mentions or attempt to get his attention when under the guise of wanting activity. Nevermind trying to get a player who is notoriously quiet on early days to be active by threatening them. Or someone who had a (until his death) very positive softclaim (even I misunderstood him to think he meant that he was Davos) that nobody had challenged.
My vote is staying on Shidoshi because of his rapid escalation of aggression, but Luv is next on my list.
I will say as well that I'm actually relieved we got hit with a double whammy so early - we can recover from it right now and it improves the odds of us getting a positive lynch. Lategame 2 townie deaths is a massive swing in favor of the mafia. It also minimizes the likelihood of a further nasty surprise later on.
Assuming 3-4 mafians and 1-2 neutrals, we're looking at a best case of 9 remaining townies and a worst case of only 6. I think it's much more likely that it's somewhere in the 8-9 range, which gives us plenty of time to recover.[/COLOR]
I can certainly understand people voting for Shidoshi due to his aggressiveness, but all of my memory of Shidoshi's playstyles are pretty outspoken and active. That's why I don't consider it scummy enough to vote for him at this time.
Good point about the early double whammy. I didn't think of it that way, and the revenge kill may work in our favor considering Kyrastri tends to be one who is very observant and make good conclusions.
As for the rest, I'm not sure if you thought the, "Defend Yourself" was pointed at you. I meant that towards Luv. Regardless, good info.