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Nebulite Boxes, what are they worth?
#12
Thorr Wrote:The number of boxes that exist out there is still pretty finite. Even if everyone put all of their stock up for sale, it's no longer the same massive stock that existed a year ago when boxes were 1-1.5M. (Granted, I am not considering the probability of mass-duping them, so I may be severely underestimating the stick pile and would thus be way off base.)

That isn't how it works though. If people are holding them because they expect inflation, then let's say 1000 boxes are on the market at a time out of a total 5000 in a server. Let us also assume no one is duping them because that's illegal and shouldn't happen in the first place, and we can't measure the impact given our resources. People are buying because not only can they make money even at such a price, but they also expect them to inflate or at least stay where they are. (this is the market back before As were cheap) Now, you have massive demand influencing information coming out. As become cheap, which, as an alternative superior option to neb boxes for upgrading, cause deflation because you need to invest A LOT in boxes and NX to get As wheras you can invest less in As and less in NX to get As. Then we find out that boxes can come from shops; an immediate and large boom to the number of boxes available. The future rise in supply causes a present rise in supply. Those 4000 boxes that previously weren't on the market now are because people know that they will become far less rare than they are which is the only thing maintaining their lucrative status. On the flip side, people find out that boxes come from shops, and so demand for current boxes falls dramatically because people know they will become far less expensive than they are now so they don't buy boxes and go for As instead. Large supply increase + large demand decrease = doubly large price decrease. :/

The only things that would really poke holes in this is if A) nexon sets prices similar to what they are now so boxes aren't dirt cheap or B) boxes are limited for purchase in shops. No matter what it's not really looking good...
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Messages In This Thread
Nebulite Boxes, what are they worth? - by donovan - 2013-12-12, 11:21 AM
Nebulite Boxes, what are they worth? - by donovan - 2013-12-12, 11:31 AM
Nebulite Boxes, what are they worth? - by Foolyz - 2013-12-12, 11:49 AM
Nebulite Boxes, what are they worth? - by Thorr - 2013-12-12, 01:02 PM
Nebulite Boxes, what are they worth? - by Thorr - 2013-12-12, 01:17 PM
Nebulite Boxes, what are they worth? - by Thorr - 2013-12-12, 01:28 PM
Nebulite Boxes, what are they worth? - by Takebacker - 2013-12-12, 01:59 PM
Nebulite Boxes, what are they worth? - by Niernen - 2013-12-12, 02:28 PM
Nebulite Boxes, what are they worth? - by donovan - 2013-12-16, 12:08 PM
Nebulite Boxes, what are they worth? - by Mazz - 2013-12-16, 02:00 PM
Nebulite Boxes, what are they worth? - by donovan - 2013-12-16, 07:14 PM
Nebulite Boxes, what are they worth? - by Grey - 2013-12-17, 06:43 PM
Nebulite Boxes, what are they worth? - by Mazz - 2013-12-17, 06:50 PM
Nebulite Boxes, what are they worth? - by Grey - 2013-12-17, 06:52 PM

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