Just comparing results from first day to those on the last couple pages:
First day:
-1 spin -100 surprise style boxes
unknown number - Tyrant belt
" 5 star EE and a RA Thief hat from my 3rd spin"
-unnown number - Tyrant belt, RA pants
"did a couple spins, highlights were pimp chair/mesoranger arm/ra mage top "
11 spins: " Guardian Scrolls, Tyrant Lycalon Belt, RA Thief Pants, & Fafnir 1H Sword"
"14 spins. Thief tyrant cape, thief tyrant belt, thief fafnir hat, mage fafnir top, pirate fafnir hat"
" i tried 1. I got a Tyrant Pirate belt"
"11 more spins. Tyrant Altair Belt, Tyrant Lycaon Belt, Fafnir Windwing Shooter"
2 spins " Typrant cloak, guardian scroll"
"In 36 spins: Tyrant Altair Belt, Tyrant Lycaon Shoes/Belt, Warrior RA pants/helm, Bowman RA top, Pirate RA bottom"
"Got 3 tyrant belts back to back in 11 spins"
etc,etc, on and on plus a couple bad runs.
Now, contrast this to some of the results in the last couple pages:
"Oh it's not 2x? I just did 44 spins lol" (presumably crap)
"people on BL are saying 11-33 spins with no Tyrants/RA/LGR"
"44 spins nothing good but broke even"
"Last time Marvel was up, I did ~110 spins. 0 LGR, 0 Tyrant, 1 RA"
This is all very subjective of course, but it sure looks like Nexon reduced the odds for the good stuff by a lot more than 2x, maybe more like 10x.
If this is true, it is rather mean of Nexon; trick everyone into thinking the odds are decent by having many times the rate for a few hours, wait for a few 'OMG look what I got in 3 spins' type posts, then knock the odds down to near nothing. A variation on the old bait-and-switch trick.
Pure speculation: But I'm wondering if this is why Girasol quit; she saw that they were going to reduce the odds by some huge amount and found it unfair, if not downright unethical.
It is also possible that increasing rates by 2x doesn't actually scale exactly by 2. It may just be doubling a modifier that calculates how good the spin is. Of course there is no way to tell given it is Nexon.
Perhaps you may not be factoring in the notion that the number of items in the Marvel machine are limited. They put in 10,000 smega codes but only 10 tyrant mage cape codes. The people who win in the beginning are making the odds worse for people who play at the end. (This is deliberate because the early winners draw folks to play even though their odds of getting good items have been lowered.)
There is a reason they use the term "restocked" they extend the marvel Wheel event. The codes themselves are pre-generated. They know exactly how many of each item they are giving away.
I take that comment back, I didn;t know
Last edited by Dacarlover; 2013-07-10 at 08:32 PM. Reason: Didn't know what happened
Just did 22 spins to see if anything was different.
Highlights
Tyrant Altair Cloak
Susano-o's Belt x2
Amaterasu's Smoldering Spirit Axe
Amaterasu's Armor
Tsukuyomi's Cape x2
Pimp Chair
35 gach
& 2 of the mech chair pieces
Not even sure if I break even but I'm happy
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