Rebirth Extension Predictions

[Mark]

As you all know, this patch is HUGE. We'll probably never see another DFO patch of this magnitude again. Which begs the question: How long will the extension delays be? Consider the fact the Priest Patch last October had around a 24 hour delay and it was nowhere near this big.

So here is how this little game will work:

- You post a prediction for how long the extensions will be.
- Time will stop ticking as soon as the servers go up and are stable.
- Any emergency maintenance will count towards the final down time.

That's all. Whoever has the closest guess will win a little prize*. Now hop to it! I want to see some wizards!


Mark - 12 hours
ShiKage - 10 hours
Kersmack - 6 hours
dante9898 - 24 hours
Dyxanije - 36 hours
Piggy 2.0 - 48 hours
AkaSora - 13 hours
FelixTM - 23 hours
Miek - 20 hours
darkmonkey13 - 25 hours
IllegallySane - 0 hours
tehflyer - 15 hours
MariaColette - 8 hours
Capricorn - 27 hours
Loose - 29 hours
Daku - 12 hours
CrimsonJohnny - 4 hours
Dredragon - 17 hours
Dark Link - 5 hours - WIZARD
Kevin - 1 hour
Anyki - 6 hours
ChaoticCJ - 3 hours
Anihpares - 5 hours - WIZARD

*Only members who play DFO are eligible for the prize.

[Link]

Is this the patch in which the thief class will be implemented? o.o


Also, I have no clue about DFO maintenance times, so I'll guess 10 hours.

[Kersmack]

6 hours, a man can dream...

[FenixR]

Considering they are also patching MS (With a big patch to boot) and Vindictus (I believe with a big patch too right?). 24hrs :f3:

[Mark]

They have different teams for each game.


Is this the patch in which the thief class will be implemented? o.o

Yes.

[Dyxanije]

36 hours.

[Piggy 2.0]

48 hours.

[FenixR]

Not imposible for one team to ask help to another or some crap like that. Nexon are just frigging trolls after all.

[AkaSora]

13 hours heh a complete guess based on nothing....wonder if I should even play this game again any of you think I should? Random

[FelixTM]

23 hours! I feel it in my bones!

No extensions. Patch has finished early.

[Miek]

I say 20 hours

[Tay]

Two week delay, files not being translated correctly causing the game to crash.

:3

[Moldyvort]

imma say 21 hours. We should extend this out to the chaos patch also

[Mark]

We should extend this out to the chaos patch also

No.

[darkmonkey13]

imma say 21 hours. We should extend this out to the chaos patch also

Yeah, I'm gonna say 28 for Chaos, and 25 for this.

[IllegallySane]

Gonna be the Devil's Advocate here: On time/early. Aka 0 hours.

[tehflyer]

15hours. I will win!

[IllegallySane]

15hours. I will win!

No you won't! I will!

[MuscleWizard]

an entire year.

[MariaColette]

8 hours.

[Capricorn]

Aesop senses tell me 27 hour extension.

[Loose]

29 hours.

[tehflyer]

No you won't! I will!

Oh yes I will!

[Daku]

Aesop senses tell me 27 hour extension.

Aesop senses are always wrong....
I predict about 12 hours of extension on the original time frame of the patch.

[Mark]

Seems like lots of people are expecting huge delays.

Ignoring ridiculous predictions. This isn't the Funho- er Shenanigans.

[CrimsonJohnny]

Ah what the hell, 4 hours.

[Dredragon]

Is this the patch in which the thief class will be implemented? o.o


Also, I have no clue about DFO maintenance times, so I'll guess 10 hours.

Yea, sorry, the date was wrong. Around the 29th you will expeirience the greatest... experience of your lyfeee.

17 hours!

This isn't a maple crap chaos prediction thread, get out

[Dark Link]

5 hours, because 5 is my fav number :P

[Secun]

Extensions? Hm. Probably around 6-8 hours.

[Kevin]

one hour extension at max

[Anyki]

24 hours...

[Mark]

Extensions? Hm. Probably around 6-8 hours.

Pick a single number. That's cheating, mister.

[ChaoticCJ]

I will put my guess on an unlikely but hopeful 3 hours.

[Dark Link]

So I noticed a couple people are choosing the same hours, what'll happen if multiple people win? Nothing really changes?

[Mark]

Well, obviously if I win I get nothing. So Daku will get the prize instead.

If there's two other people who win, then prize will be split.

[Anihpares]

Waitin' to see how long their estimated time is...

[IllegallySane]

Waitin' to see how long their estimated time is...

Now that's just cheating, Sera. Make your prediction NAO. Mark, do please set a due date for the predictions (preferably a good couple days before the 29th, because Sera clearly found the loophole.

[Mark]

Why? Only delay time is counted. Nexon are never wizards with their own games. Something can and probably will go horribly wrong.

[MariaColette]

Well, obviously if I win I get nothing. So Daku will get the prize instead.

If there's two other people who win, then prize will be split.

In that case, change my answer to 6 hours because that was my initial guess. I thought people couldn't have the same answer. :<

EDIT: Ah nevermind, keep my answer. >_>

[IllegallySane]

Why? Only delay time is counted. Nexon are never wizards with their own games. Something can and probably will go horribly wrong.

Very well. Just warning that Sera is thinking outside the box.

./loophole abuse
./loophole abuse
./loophole abuse

[Mark]

Unless you can help me understand why waiting for the expected patch hours is a loophole, there won't be a cut off line.

[Anihpares]

y u mad? I am just unnecessarily thinkin' outside the box. Am not wizard, I just wanna make my guess proportionate to their estimated time. They can turn a 4 hour server check into 12 hours still...

[IllegallySane]

Who said I mad. I just wanna be sure everyone has a fair shot at the prize. It's a clever idea, nonetheless. Inb4 take your idea and add/subtract an hour or two.

[Mark]

Ninja rule: No changing your times.

Hehehehe.

[Anihpares]

Not even clever, really. I could be just as off as erryone else, but it's just what I'd rather do. Kinda like dem people that blow up low level Seria garbage because that's how you make +13s obv! Also, I just said you're mad. Duhhhhhhhh!

[IllegallySane]

Ninja rule: No changing your times.

Hehehehe.

Works for me!


Not even clever, really. I could be just as off as erryone else, but it's just what I'd rather do. Kinda like dem people that blow up low level Seria garbage because that's how you make +13s obv! Also, I just said you're mad. Duhhhhhhhh!

More like jelly than mad.

[Anihpares]

Alright, going with anywhere between 1-24 hours... By which I mean 5 hours.

[Dredragon]

My estimate is going to win.
We all know it's going to be 17 hours. :3

[Mark]

Game is officially down for the Rebirth update.

NO MORE PREDICTIONS BEING ACCEPTED.

[IllegallySane]

Game is officially down for the Rebirth update.

NO MORE PREDICTIONS BEING ACCEPTED.

And it begins.

http://ponibooru.413chan.net/_images/6135f2b55ae7a77710d84c930b95c5e9/18346%20-%20computer%20exploitable%20laptop%20rainbow_dash. png

[FelixTM]

With this absolutely absurd patch time, if there's ANY extensions it will be completely ridiculous. They will probably finish early. No, they BETTER finish early.

This was supposed to be happy fun time. Should have seen this coming...

[Infection]

Hmm..
12 hours.

EDIT: DAMMIT WHY DIDN'T I SEE THIS THREAD BEFORE.
Oh well, enjoy. loool.

[Mark]

Possible 6 hour extension announced.

6 people are not wizards.

[Loose]

It starts.

[Daku]

Mark - 12 hours
ShiKage - 10 hours
Kersmack - 6 hours
dante9898 - 24 hours
Dyxanije - 36 hours
Piggy 2.0 - 48 hours
AkaSora - 13 hours
FelixTM - 23 hours
darkmonkey13 - 25 hours
IllegallySane - 0 hours
tehflyer - 15 hours
MariaColette - 8 hours
Capricorn - 27 hours
Loose - 29 hours
Daku - 12 hours
CrimsonJohnny - 4 hours
Dredragon - 17 hours
Dark Link - 5 hours
Kevin - 1 hour
Anyki - 6 hours
ChaoticCJ - 3 hours
Anihpares - 5 hours

LE UPDATED

[Anihpares]

Whatever. I didn't wanna be a wizard anyway...

[tehflyer]

I'm sorry guys, but Nexon wants me to win this. Therefore, there will be another 9 hour extension.

[Dark Link]

I wouldn't cross off people who are the closest of the tentative release time in the future. Example would be if it's extended to 7 hours, then the people who chose 6 hours and 8 hours would be the closest.

[Miek]

waaah I was never on the list but i lost anyways 20 hours haha.


edit: Oh i had no idea it was just the delay, i thought it was the maintenance + delay in total lol

[Mark]

How did I miss you?

You didn't lose...yet.

[IllegallySane]

Le QQ. Gotta fill up the downtime somehow.

[MariaColette]

Le QQ. Gotta fill up the downtime somehow.

Filling up my downtime with oldschool N64 games because I can.

[IllegallySane]

Looks like TF2 or MGS4 then. Or maybe even take a short nap. Wheeeeee.

[Kevin]

well fuck

Nexon y u don't reward optimism

[Piggy 2.0]

>Comes back from a rewarding day of console vidya
>"6 HOURS, WE DONE GOOF'D"

Never change, Nexon. :<

[ChaoticCJ]

Being optimistic didn't pay off...hopefully they have made enough "progress" that they know it will be around 6 hours and not just extend it all night...

[Dark Link]

For the time being, Maintenance extension went from 3pm PDT -> 7:40pm PDT
As of right now, that's 4 hours 40min extension, looks like I'm winning now :P

[MariaColette]

Well, maintenance is apparently over... it was a 4.5 hour extension. GG.

[Dark Link]

Well, maintenance is apparently over... it was a 4.5 hour extension. GG.

For now, but what's there to say there won't be emergency maintenance? Remember those also add to the total time.

[Mark]

Well, game was up for a while without any emergency maintenance. It's down now for "server optimization" but I think I can call it at 4:40 being the final time which would make Sera and Dark Link the winners.

Looks like you were a wizard after all.

[Anihpares]

Oh... Sweet. Well... I DID wanna be a wizard, I lied.

[Dark Link]

Oh... Sweet. Well... I DID wanna be a wizard, I lied.

:P
My 3DS Dream came true! Lucky number 5 too good!

[Mark]

So yeah, prize was originally gonna be a GREEN GOBLIN MINI (I did say it was a little prize) but I can't split a Goblin pet among two people so you'll both have to accept 500k (AAP is like 1m for a Goblin pet) and deal w/ it.

CONGRATS!

[IllegallySane]

Oh... Sweet. Well... I DID wanna be a wizard, I lied.

Being a wizard requires reading in a smelly old library though.

[Anihpares]

So yeah, prize was originally gonna be a GREEN GOBLIN MINI (I did say it was a little prize)

Dohohohoho